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Prediction for CME (2021-10-17T09:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-10-17T09:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17994/-1 CME Note: Faint halo in SOHO LASCO/C2, more clearly visible in the W in STEREO A COR2. May be associated with a filament eruption faintly visible near N30W10 in SDO AIA 304 beginning 2021-10-17T07:39Z. | There was no clear arrival signature from this CME. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-10-20T23:00Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 10.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): Longitude (deg): Latitude (deg): Half-angular width (deg): Notes: Space weather advisor:Lead Time: 24.25 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2021-10-19T22:45Z |
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